A super simple, state poll based projection model for the 2020 Presidential election. Return here to share it. 2020 Electoral College Map. Nov 3, 2020 #475 boiler said: Clinton lost both (North Carolina by a lot, 3.8%). We've stopped updating it, but may include state calls as they come. Polls. Or check out our state specific IG accounts: Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind), Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson, The Washington Post/George Mason University, Univision/University of Houston/Latino Decisions, University of Nevada Las Vegas Lee Business School, Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research, Univision/University of Arizona/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research, Baldwin Wallace University (Great Lakes Poll). Hawaii is Final State to Certify Presidential Vote; Electors to Vote Next Monday, Louisiana 5th District Election: Overview and Live Results, Mark Kelly Sworn In to Senate; Defeated Martha McSally in Arizona Special Election, Georgia 5th District Special Election Runoff, Where Things Stand: 2020 Election Results Maps, How the States Voted Relative to the Nation. The polls in 2020 are nearly identical to those in 2016, according to Real Clear Politics, which keeps a running average of all polls. Here's how the popular vote leader has changed throughout the night. Subscribe. The vote count slowly takes over the polls in our live projection, very slowly at first (as the early numbers may be all over the place), but as we get more of the total vote in, the vote count will take over. Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. Bluegrass Community and Technical College. Despite the media declaring Joe Biden the President-Elect, real clear politics has not called the race. Any review of the various 2020 Electoral College combinations should begin with Florida, a state key to all presidential fortunes since the 2000 presidential election. If Trump were to win Florida again, Democrats would need to recapture three Midwestern states in the Rust Belt — or find substitutes — to win the presidency. The thick line the arrows are pointing to marks the current 2020 polling. For context, in 2016 the average difference between the result and the polls R+3.5%. Every 2 minutes we get the latest vote count in every state. This is how the forecast has changed throughout the evening (and days? Note: we don't include states where less than 90% of the votes have been reported. © 2020 Electoral Ventures LLC. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. - Arizona, North Carolina - The ABC News 2020 Electoral Map shows state-by-state votes on the path to win the 2020 Presidential Election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2020 election forecast. She also lost Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin. Wargaming the Electoral College is back, and just in time for RGB Replacement Madness to frustrate nearly everyone’s plans and predictions.. Four years ago this month, my first and wildest Wargaming the Electoral College scenario in which Donald Trump won, was what I called the “northern route” to a Trump victory through the Rust Belt states. Some other more detailed info we'd like to note: Vote Count vs Polls How did the Political Science Forecasters Do? The map at this URL was originally created for the 2016 election as a Trump vs. Sanders forecast. We show how much each pollster's polls missed, both their 'Avg Polling Error' (either direction) and their 'Avg Polls v. Results (Bias)' 2020 Electoral College Map Subscribe. RCP House Ratings, Map. Dear Readers: Our new Sabato’s Crystal Ball:... Dear Readers: We will be releasing a new episode of... KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — The reelection... Dear Readers: Our 22nd annual American Democracy Conference... Customize your map by changing one or more states. ... (13) AR: Spreads are Trump +13.9 (538) and Trump +2.0 (RCP). Electoral College Map. The average swing from 2012 to 2016 was R+4.1%. C reate Y our O wn M ap. (directional average of their polling errors, aka, their new 'Bias'). The Electoral College is a body of electors established by the United States Constitution, which forms every four years for the sole purpose of electing the president and vice president of the United States.The Electoral College consists of 538 electors, and an absolute majority of at least 270 electoral votes is required to win the election. Electoral College Map. Pennsylvania is down to a 2.6% gap on rcp, though the inclusion of partisan pollster Insider Advantage and Republican leaning Susquehanna and Rasmussen are factors in that. ARIZONA, NORTH CAROLINA RCP Electoral Map State Changes; ... RCP Electoral Spread. map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page. RCP also pegs Biden as receiving 216 Electoral Votes and Trump at 125 Electoral Votes. Changes in Electoral Count. Check out the States section to see state level polling errors and swings from 2016. Subscribe. RCP Electoral Count RCP National Avg. ), all times are EST. Sign In | Subscribe Ad-Free. Here are all the electoral college outcomes the forecast currently projects. PA average is +1.2 for Biden. Place the map on your website with this code. It's updated each time we update the live forecast. 2020 Electoral College Map. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. Arizona, North Carolina The battleground states of Arizona and North Carolina, both of which Trump won in … A simple, straighforward, electoral college based 2020 Presedential Election projection model and polling aggregator. This is how election night went in 2020. Here we see how each state currently compares to 2016 (both the 2016 polling and results). To create a 2020 map, visit the home page or begin editing below. The bar and arrow between them shows how the numbers have swung. 270 Electoral Votes Needed To Win. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election. The 2020 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. I immediately take issue with certain states being listed as battleground states. 2020 Electoral College Map. Battleground State Polls. Newsmax has not either. Solid (118) CA (55) DE (3) DC (3) HI (4) MD (10) MA (11) Map with no toss up states. Polls are weighted based upon date and older polls are excluded (so their polling average is mostly their polls close to election day). If a state wasn't 'Safe' before the election, the live election night projection will max out at a 99.9% probability until it's actually called. In the swing states that average was R+2.3%. Your screen will update automatically with the latest info (so no need to hit refresh). Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Projection Electoral Votes States Polls Simulate 2016 Election Night Vote! The GOP majority narrows to 52-48 for the remainder of the year. As we get more votes in, we'll defer to the vote count more (rather than the polls) and start narrowing the range our model tests in its simulations. Polls. More blue bars means the country has swung more Democratic, more red bars means it's more Republican. Use the buttons below the Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Here's a more detailed list of all the states, their current votes, their projection, how results compared to the polls (currently), and the change from 2016 (currently). Use the History area on the left to look at what the forecast showed at specific times in the evening. A state isn't 'called' in our projections until a TV network calls it. The bar/arrow will be blue if it's now more Democratic or red it it's more Republican. Sign In | Subscribe Ad-Free. According to the RCP averages, Biden is up by 5.1 points in Michigan, which has 16 electoral votes, and by 6.6 points in Wisconsin, which has 10 electoral votes. In particular, Texas, Iowa, Georgia, and Ohio, each of these states that Trump won by a sizeable margin and there are no electoral indicators to suggest that Trump wouldn’t win these states again. We then re-run our 20,000 simulations of the election to project who's most likely to win each state and the election overall. RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 Favorability Ratings. RCP Electoral Map ... RCP Electoral College Map. Say Goodbye to Peace Through Strength Under Biden Coalition Shifts in Senate Races: SC, KY, IL. Wargaming the Electoral College is back, ... it’s just that the electorate is going to be much more fluid in a crazy year like 2020. Use … The Sunshine State's competitiveness and large electoral bounty will once again play a pivotal role in the 2020 election. Create a specific match-up According to the RCP averages, Biden is up by 5.1 points in Michigan, which has 16 electoral votes, and by 6.6 points in Wisconsin, which has 10 electoral votes. ABOUT US Which uncalled state will decide the election? Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. The chart below shows about how much of our projection is votes at each reporting level: Calling States 2020 Electoral College Map. The winner will only serve for the lame duck session; Nikema Williams will be sworn in for a two-year term in January, While Democrats have won back the White House, Republicans easily outperformed expectations in Congressional races. PRIVACY Use the interactive map tool to predict the winners of the 2020 president elections and share with your friends! by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. In the swing states that average was R+4.4%. A simple, straighforward, electoral college based 2020 Presedential Election projection model and polling aggregator. You can also checkout our Pollsters area to see how different pollsters did in 2020. Here's how pollsters are faring in the election (this will be updated as more votes come in). 10/29: Michigan MI: Leans Biden »»» Toss Up: Biden … In other words, the state is probably a must win for Trump. Polls ... RCP Electoral College Map. 2020 Electoral College Map. Sign In | Subscribe Ad-Free. Anyway I mentioned the "Red Mirage" earlier i.e. Electoral College Map. In fact, Joe Biden has only 259 Electoral votes on the RCP map today, despite the victory and ‘inaugural-style’ celebrations held by the Biden campaign and hawked by the propaganda media. We'll be posting updates & interesting tidbits on @electoralpolls. The states certified the projected 306-232 win for president-elect Joe Biden, We know the winner will be a Republican, Saturday's top-two runoff will determine who will replace the retiring Rep. Ralph Abraham. 2020 Electoral College Map. In 2016, Hillary's was +1.9. Use the interactive map tool to predict the winners of the 2020 president elections and share with your friends! The Electoral College 2020, #13. Election rcp abbreviation meaning defined here. According to the RCP averages, Biden is up by 5.1 points in Michigan, which has 16 electoral votes, and by 6.6 points in Wisconsin, which has 10 electoral votes. RCP Senate Ratings, Map. Last Updated 12/10 11:48 AM EST. If Joe Biden were […] Click states on this On election day, voters go to the polling place and cast their vote for their voting at the electoral college takes place in the weeks after election day the winner is usually always. Recent Commentary & News Stories. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election. 2020 Electoral College Thread starter EagleFan; Start date Aug 15, 2020; ... RCP averages of battleground states are looking good for Trump. 4GX Well-known member. The smaller, lighter lines are the 2016 polling/results. In the end, she got crushed in the Electoral College, 304-227. Copy Code. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election. SITE MAP. You can click '2016 Polls' or '2020 Results' just below this to toggle them on/off for a clearer view. All Rights Reserved. Here are full results from all 50 states. interactive map to create your own 2020 election forecast. Election 2020 ... RCP Electoral College Map. RCP Electoral Map State Changes; The lighter states haven't been called yet, but are shaded based upon our projection.The darker states have been called. Winning those states, along with the states Hillay Clinton won four years ago, would get Biden to north of 270 electoral votes. Edison research for the national election pool. The 538 members of the US Electoral College gather in their state’s respective capitals every four years after the presidential election to designate the winner. Forecast showed at specific times in the end, she got crushed in the code can be to... Results ) stopped updating it, but may include state calls as they come we do n't include states less. Or red it it 's more Republican the path to win each state and the Polls %. Faring in the end, she got crushed in the election overall the 2016 polling/results College,. To North of 270 Electoral votes to win the 2020 presidential election how state... 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